耶鲁The Budget Lab的测算：网页链接1. The p-20250201212935

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2025-02-01 21:29 本条微博链接 耶鲁The Budget Lab的测算： 网页链接 1. The proposal raises PCE prices by 0.76% pre-substitution (full retaliation no Fed offset). That's the equivalent of a $1,250 per household loss in purchasing power on average in 2024$. 2. The proposal raises $1.4-1.5T over 2026-35 conventionally scored, ~$150B less dynamically scored. 3. US real GDP is 0.2% smaller in the medium-run. 4. The effective tariff rate rises ~6 perc pts to the highest since 1946. 5. We map average price effect across different commodities. ………………………………